Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 11.431403 13.045010 14.810157 16.885280 19.259339 21.892172 25.035737
2026-02-08 9.020721 11.085657 13.519336 16.602618 20.410402 24.966309 30.842768
2026-02-15 7.585613 9.823701 12.604484 16.319997 21.165745 27.287007 35.632717
2026-02-22 6.938829 9.385270 12.561110 16.996594 23.050551 31.053142 42.483147
2026-03-01 6.297975 8.845058 12.279503 17.264218 24.342501 34.076700 48.556529
2026-03-08 5.673890 8.240160 11.819606 17.196370 25.106621 36.377607 53.766775
2026-03-15 5.133900 7.686948 11.359481 17.051839 25.701991 38.433918 58.746078
2026-03-22 4.866295 7.497785 11.394309 17.614589 27.359543 42.148620 66.500983
2026-03-29 4.608224 7.292386 11.375809 18.076805 28.878987 45.749958 74.368696
2026-04-05 4.415729 7.166628 11.460058 18.692430 30.671596 49.898307 83.449447
2026-04-12 4.024269 6.685324 10.937777 18.276419 30.740334 51.257082 88.011918
2026-04-19 3.700944 6.286331 10.511969 17.974676 30.956905 52.850033 93.070251
2026-04-26 3.406323 5.914833 10.107499 17.683859 31.182011 54.500178 98.427337
2026-05-03 3.140658 5.570575 9.720349 17.387168 31.365017 56.081092 103.787730
2026-05-10 2.902522 5.254036 9.353746 17.090872 31.512863 57.592269 109.123368
2026-05-17 2.841727 5.249931 9.536321 17.800249 33.550795 62.681732 121.616038
2026-05-24 2.721750 5.126571 9.491978 18.080850 34.801223 66.397178 131.773321
2026-05-31 2.563256 4.917914 9.273175 18.009711 35.365230 68.841714 139.617422
2026-06-07 2.407740 4.702494 9.024494 17.858173 35.753561 70.964378 146.977818
2026-06-14 2.355145 4.682995 9.148062 18.448216 37.664740 76.242357 161.302947
2026-06-21 2.292459 4.638184 9.217778 18.932866 39.395632 81.284758 175.565241
2026-06-28 2.250411 4.631465 9.361522 19.578393 41.508637 87.273972 192.389918
2026-07-05 2.097340 4.384719 9.001947 19.142173 41.290479 88.338768 198.445856